11/2/20: Sunday we
explained why it will be impossible for Trump to win the popular vote, barring a
miracle.
For instance: This blogger may be
underestimating the strength of the “Neo-Nazi’s for Trump” movement.
____________________
“Three more
years! Three more years!”
____________________
It would also appear that a huge turnout is
coming, and pollsters may be in uncharted territory.
If nothing else, let’s give it up for the
Nineteenth Amendment! That amendment granted women suffrage. We know that if
Mr. Biden wins, it’s going to be because of women. I have always been
fond of the women demographic, and would never grab any of them you know where,
because I am not a classless jerk. Female Americans are going to go big for Joe
Biden tomorrow.
In an average of 21 polls since the start of
September, women prefer the Democrat over President Pussy Grabber by an average of
18.7 points.
Voter turnout among young people could also be
huge, since, to cite one example, most young Americans believe climate change
is real and a grave threat. If a blue wave is coming, it’s not going to be led
by folks with walkers. Americans, age 18-29, voted at a rate of 36% in the 2018 midterms, almost double the rate
from 2014. A Pew Research study puts the turnout figure in 2018 even higher, 42%,
or 26 million millennials. At that point, this youthful cohort made up one-fifth
of the vote. “By making our voices heard,”
one told a reporter last week, “it will send a message to those in power: We’re
not going anywhere, and we’ll continue raising hell.”
If you’re a Republican you have to sweat, because 63% of voters under 30 say they plan to vote this time
around, vs. 47% during the last presidential election. According to a study by
Harvard University, those young voters will break 63% to 25%, for Biden. A
second study predicted a more modest 59% to 37% split. Still, the more the young
show up, the worse it is for Trump.
 |
Women favor Biden by a wide margin. |
Even worse, if you hope to enjoy “three more
years” of President Trump (the man has spent more than a year of his first term,
409 days, at his private
golf clubs and resorts), older voters have turned. In the past four
presidential elections, voters over age 65 have gone for Republicans by an
average of ten points. Trump won the nursing home demographic by seven his
first time around.
This year, his plan appears to be to kill us all
off, since he scoffs at the idea that anyone dies from the coronavirus except
older folks. In early September a Monmouth University poll showed Americans age
65 and up, preferred Biden by eleven points, 54% to 43% for Trump. A CNN
poll at the start of October, and another from NBC News and the Wall Street
Journal, both showed Mr. Biden’s lead among senior citizens had grown to
more than 20 points.
Where, exactly, is the incumbent faring best?
Mr. Trump still has the support of 78% of white evangelicals, vs. 17% for
Biden. On October 13, he had an eight-point lead among white Catholics, but
trailed among Hispanic Catholics by 41 points. Trump enjoys a fat and happy lead
among white voters who failed to finish high school, and a solid lead among
whites who graduated from high school. The same poll shows Biden leading among college graduates by 20 points, and among voters
who have completed postgraduate work by 68% to 28%.
Again, all
the Trump supporters this blogger knows personally are good people. One of my former
best friends is against abortion, and votes almost entirely in accord with his profoundly
held belief. We’re not talking these days; but I know no better man.
Still, I’m sad to report, Trump has a 100% to 0%
lead among the neo-Nazi crew. Richard Spencer and that warped bunch have been
cheering Trump since before the votes were counted in 2016.
Because they understand their man.
FUN FACT: Four former communications directors
for the Republican National Committee explain that they have cast early ballots
for…
Joe Biden!
One, Ryan Mahoney, even posts this picture on Twitter:
Trevor Francis and Lisa
Miller join Mahoney in casting ballots for Biden. Doug Heye writes in the name of Sen. Mitt Romney.
The National Committee
of Asian American Republicans also announces it will support the challenger.
The group explains:
We don’t need a smart-pants
president who knows everything including the best medicine curing COVID-19, who
empowers only his base to run over political opposition. We need a president
with empathy, integrity, and broadness capable of bringing all sides to the
table to find common ground, and work together overcoming serious challenges
ahead.
Even leading disease experts on the White House Coronavirus Task
Force appear to be turning on the boss. Dr. Deborah Birx, the coordinator warns
in an email obtained by the Washington Post, that the country is
“entering the most concerning and most deadly phase of the pandemic.” Whereas
Trump has said repeatedly that the country is “rounding the corner.” Birx, by
contrast, calls for “much more aggressive action” to battle the spread.
Meanwhile, Dr. Anthony Fauci has warned that the United States is
“in for a whole lot of hurt” going into fall and winter.
This has prompted Dimwit Donald to suggest that he might fire Fauci.
At a recent campaign rally, the president responded to a chant, “Fire Fauci!”
in typical cowardly fashion. He didn’t say he’d fire him before voting begins,
because most Americans trust the doctor way more than the president.
So Dimwit Don simply grinned, and responded, “Don't tell anybody, but let me wait until a little bit after the election.”
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