Showing posts with label presidential approval numbers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label presidential approval numbers. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Trump and the GOP Make the Case for Democrats in 2018 and 2020

If you set out to convince people to return power control of Congress to the Democrats in 2018, and the White House two years later, what would be the most effective way to accomplish it?

It could be, all you need to do is focus on the incompetence of Donald Trump and the most ineffective, GOP-controlled Congress in history.

Polls (see below) show that might be all you need.


If the election were held today, the GOP would be in well-earned and deep trouble.

But we can help speed the process if we approach the situation carefully. We can run strictly honest candidates in 2018 and 2020. 

That would be a start.

Also—Democrats could address the needs of older, white working class voters, especially men, who have seen their economic standing erode. We should keep championing the concerns of darker-skinned citizens, as well as women, and law-abiding immigrants, even undocumented ones. But we should be sympathetic to the financial concerns of many Trump supporters, realizing they are valid.

(We are liberals: we want to help the down-trodden.) 

You would also want to make a powerful case that it isn’t government that has screwed the average white, working-class man and woman. It was giant corporations that shipped millions of good jobs to low-wage nations. It wasn’t President Obama who forced those greedy companies to start operating in Vietnam, China and Sri Lanka.

Muslim Americans didn’t do it.

Mexican immigrants, legal or otherwise, weren’t responsible.

The CEO’s of corporations did it—and did it because CEO’s don’t bleed red, white and blue. They bleed green.

To the degree that President Trump has talked about bringing jobs back to America, his case resonates with many of our fellow citizens. The problem—and here, I am ignoring the fact that on many topics Trump sounds nuts—is that he represents a political party that has worked diligently to break fiscal back of the average worker. Expecting the GOP to push for policies that aid the working stiff is like expecting the Tooth Fairy to show up when you have impacted wisdom teeth, perform surgery, and leave $1,000 under your pillow.

It’s not going to happen.


At no point since the GOP took complete control of Congress has the approval rate of that august body reached 30%.

It would help if Democrats could make clear how little regard the ordinary GOP lawmaker has for the ordinary American worker. Consider the virulent Republican hatred for labor unions. Perhaps you’re too young to remember. But there was a time when no non-union worker dared pick up a shovel or swing a hammer on any unionized job site. (As a bonus, that meant no undocumented worker plucked off the street would have a chance to take a good American job; and, again, I do not mean to disparage those who come here from other countries in search of a better life). And why does the GOP loathe unions? For all their imperfections, unions exist to fight for higher wages and improved fringe benefits.

If you go back to the 1980s, Republicans were happy to argue that business leaders had every right to move jobs from Ohio and Michigan, where wages were “too high” and pensions “too good,” to states like Texas and Tennessee. There workers would expect less and there would be no unions to demand more.

Then the GOP used the same argument, and made it with increasing fervor, starting in the late 90s. If Apple or Ford or Caterpillar wanted to ship jobs overseas, well, that’s how the system is intended to work. The first, last and only imperative of a company is to make as much money as possible.

Republican policies were designed to facilitate that process, not to help the average worker. Tax shelters overseas, where giant companies could hide cash? Good idea! Special tax rates for hedge fund managers and Goldman Sachs banking executives? Just as Jesus intended! Tax cuts for billionaires? Just what the Koch brothers ordered! Raise the minimum wage, which would have a ripple effect for workers at the lower end of the spectrum, even those not directly covered? Can’t do it! That would cripple the U.S. economy! I once listened to a conservative friend insist if Congress raised the minimum wage a McDonald’s hamburger would suddenly cost $5.00. I said I was pretty sure his math was suspect, and he stalked away, muttering darkly that he was going home to turn on Fox News.

Now, is it okay if the typical CEO earns 300 times as much as the average worker? Does that raise the price of the hamburger? Not at all. According to the GOP, that’s why capitalism was invented.

In the same way, Democrats would be wise to point out that Republicans have been playing political “rope-a-dope” with their base supporters. While offering tax cut crumbs, and secretly smiling as hourly wages for those supporters declined, the GOP warned darkly that if Democrats regained control:

1. Gay marriages would ruin marriage for straight people. This was kind of like insisting: If your gay neighbors painted their house pink your formerly straight children would all come marching out of the closet.

2. Granny, kicking and screaming, would be carted away in a sinister black van, if Obamacare was enacted. There would be “death panels!”


GOP ineptitude has even convinced a majority of Americans the Affordable Care Act is good.

3. Speaking of “death,” Democrats would insist on innocent middle class Americans paying a “death tax.” I.R.S agents dressed like the Grim Reaper would show up at Granny’s funeral (see above). Granny would have to pay a huge tax on all assets, house, car and savings. Okay, don’t mention the fact the estate tax applies only to individuals who leave behind $5.5 million and couples that leave twice as much.

4. Also, if Democrats gain control, Muslims will enforce Sharia law in every village and town and every cornfield in Iowa. Even Mormons and Amish women will have to wear face coverings and long black robes.

5. If Muslim Obama (see above) was elected—and especially reelected—good citizens would immediately be required to give up all their guns. Even Nerf guns would be banned! And when Muslim Obama didn’t take away a single gun during his first term, or his second, well, it was a ruse, because Hillary was lurking in the wings ready to seize all the guns Obama was going to seize only didn’t. Meanwhile, worried Americans, their right to bear arms under terrible attack, ran out and bought another 150 million weapons, and gun-makers raked in the cash and happily raised CEO pay.

6. If Democrats ran Congress, we as a nation would lose the “War on Christmas.” We would suffer a catastrophic defeat in the “War on Coal” and even the “War on Ear Wax.”  After the government disposed of granny, your Christmas tree would get it too. And: no coal for the kids’ stockings!

7. Indeed, tree huggers” would come to your house and take away your tree and trample all your ornaments; because they’re commies who believe in science and actually read NASA studies and think the earth is heating up in unnatural fashion. But the CEO’s of Big Oil companies and Big Coal know what’s best for all of us, and who are you going to trust? Scientists, or, say, guys who run Big Pharma?


The question, then, is how does our side counteract all the fear-mongering and make a case to vote “Democrat” in 2018 and 2020?

A little respect for the principles and beliefs, the valid fears and concerns of most Trump voters wouldnt hurt.

And it might not be a bad idea to quote that great Republican president, a bit of a “tree hugger,” himself, Theodore Roosevelt:

The true welfare of the nation is indissolubly bound up with the welfare of the farmer and the wage-worker—of the man who tills the soil, and of the mechanic, the handicraftsman, the laborer. If we can insure the prosperity of these two classes we need not trouble ourselves about the prosperity of the rest, for that will follow as a matter of course.
  

Or, you might just enjoy the show as President Trump, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell bumble every issue and make a hash of the democratic process.

That clearly works, too.


Asked to choose: more Americans today would like to see the Democrats regain control of the legislative branch.

Monday, April 3, 2017

President Trump is Sinking Fast in the Polls!

It would be easy to say that President Trump is sinking fast in approval polls like the Titanic. Too easy.

A better comparison—nautically speaking—would be to the Swedish warship Vasa, launched with great anticipation in 1628. She appeared formidable, armed as she was with 64 bronze cannon. Constructed over a two year period, the warship set sail on her maiden voyage on August 10.

A mile into the trip a powerful wind caught the vessel’s sails and Vasa’s top heavy design proved as fatal as a self-inflicted injury from a string of petulant tweets. The warship heeled over, water poured through open gun ports, cannon broke loose and careened across the slanting decks, crushing sailors and smashing everything in their path, and down the Vasa went.

Anticipation was high; the voyage did not well.
(The Vasa was raised from the bottom and restored in 1961,)


Today’s polls show Trump headed for the bottom of the political harbor almost as quickly. His shrinking band of supporters will surely insist polls are rigged—also insist Obama is a Muslim—also millions of illegal immigrants voted in 2016—also Russians never hacked the election.

Only the polls during aren’t rigged. They might be off a few points, as they were during the general election. But if you’re Steve Bannon or Kellyanne Conway or even Melania, today’s figures are grim. Our new president hasn’t hit Richard M. Nixon levels yet, but seems in a hurry to get there.

How explain the plunge? A Three Stooges campaign to “repeal and replace” played a role. A Dumb and Dumber rollout on the travel ban did nothing to inspire confidence in the people in charge.

Still, if Mr. Trump feels bad, he can take solace in noting that his approval numbers are better than those of the GOP Congress.

Their approval rating: 13%.

What else drives current poll numbers? A National Security Advisor asking for immunity doesn’t help—even if Sean Hannity spends half of ever show talking about imaginary wiretaps. Nepotism doesn’t sit well with Americans, either. A cabinet jam-packed with oligarchs and Wall Street predators, the same type of crew Trump promised to fight during the campaign, can’t be good. Nor do most people like a cruel budget plan featuring cuts to programs like Meals on Wheels and home heating assistance for the elderly poor. Well, screw those old goats, President Trump might say. They’re “losers.”  He loves that word! They’re “sad!” He loves that word, too. If they were “winners” they could afford heat and also the $200,000 fee to join the gang at Mar-a-Lago.

Yes, you read that right: The fee to become a member of the Trump club doubled recently; but don’t you dare think the Trump clan is cashing in on their new political connections. Oh, no.

Who would think they’d do that!

Trump’s time in office has been short. His list of blunders grows daily. You might worry about new policies that will allow for-profit colleges to get back to the lucrative business of screwing students. Scott Pruitt, a tool of Big Oil, heading up the EPA, might not strike you as healthy for the planet or promising for the future of your children or grandchildren. You might believe building a wall along the border won’t do any good and believe it was stupid to promise Mexico would pay for it in the first place.

In the end, the real story behind the sinking numbers may come down to something more fundamental. Most of us don’t like it when we see people acting like dicks in meetings or bars or on the sidelines of kid’s soccer games.

That’s the real problem. So far, President Trump has been acting like a giant dick in the Oval Office.

THE GRIM, GRIMMER, GRIMMEST NUMBERS: